Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction, Odds & Tips - Sportiya AI
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Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 5 · Mon, 2 Nov 2026

FKF Premier League

Tusker

Tusker

3 - 1

Full time · 2 Nov

Mara Sugar

Mara Sugar

PredictionOddsConfidence
Home or Away (12)WON1.3660%

A decisive result is favoured at 1.36.

Also rated:Home or Away (12) @ 1.36

Tusker: Matches Played 10

WWLDL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Mara Sugar: Matches Played 10

LDWDD

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D4 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Match events

TuskerTuskerMara SugarMara Sugar

  1. Goal

    F. Adikiny

    43'
  2. Half-time 1-0

  3. Goal

    E. Kapaito

    70'

  4. Goal

    S. Omondi

    78'
  5. 88'

    Own goal

  6. Full-time 3-1

Teams Head to Head Matches

TuskerH2HMara Sugar
TuskerLast Matches (Tusker)
Mara SugarLast Matches (Mara Sugar)

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1GOR MahiaGOR Mahia54018-4412LWWWW
2KCBKCB53118-5310WWLWD
3AFC LeopardsAFC Leopards52304-139WDDWD
4Kenya PoliceKenya Police52214-318WWDLD
53K3K52217-8-18WLWDD
6Murang'a SEALMurang'a SEAL521211-927DWLWL
7TuskerTusker32016-336WLW
8Migori YouthMigori Youth41304-226WDDD
9APS BometAPS Bomet51314-226DWDLD
10ShabanaShabana51312-206LDDDW
11Mara SugarMara Sugar51315-6-16LDDWD
12Mathare UnitedMathare United51223-4-15LWDLD
13Ulinzi StarsUlinzi Stars51223-5-25WLDDL
14Nairobi UnitedNairobi United50416-7-14DLDDD
15BandariBandari50412-3-14DDLDD
16HomeboyzHomeboyz41122-4-24LLDW
17Posta Rangers FCPosta Rangers FC51133-8-54LDWLL
18Mombasa EliteMombasa Elite50142-8-61LLDLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.6%7.4%
1.5 goals73.3%26.7%
2.5 goals48.2%51.8%
3.5 goals26.4%73.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

50.4%

No

49.6%

1X

76.3%

12

75%

X2

48.7%

1-0

11.9%

1-1

11.9%

2-0

9.5%

2-1

9.5%

0-0

7.4%

0-1

7.4%

1-2

5.9%

3-0

5.1%

1 / 1

31.5%

1 / X

4.7%

1 / 2

1.4%

X / 1

17.3%

X / X

15.5%

X / 2

9.1%

2 / 1

2.5%

2 / X

4.7%

2 / 2

13.1%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Tusker

Sportiya's pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.36

Expected goals: 2.6

Source: Sportiya's published prediction

Recent form33% / 67%
Attack43% / 57%
Defence60% / 40%
Goals model0% / 0%
Head-to-head71% / 29%
Overall53% / 47%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Tusker4/6
Mara Sugar3/6

Over 2.5

Tusker2/6
Mara Sugar3/6

Over 3.5

Tusker1/6
Mara Sugar1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Tusker3/6
Mara Sugar3/6

Goals By Time Period

Tusker

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Mara Sugar

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tusker

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Mara Sugar

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Tusker

First goal scored: 48′First goal conceded: 52′First card: n/a

Mara Sugar

First goal scored: n/aFirst goal conceded: n/aFirst card: n/a

Season Statistics

TuskerMara Sugar
FormWLWDWDDL
Played35
Wins21
Draws03
Losses11
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)11.2
Clean sheets12
Failed to score02
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Tusker

Total shots7.3
Blocked0
66% off target34% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession49%

Trends

4 match streak · FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in FKF Premier League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Tusker

A · 8 Nov

Bandari

2/5

H · 15 Nov

Shabana

3/5

A · 20 Nov

Nairobi United

2/5

H · 25 Nov

Posta Rangers FC

1/5

A · 29 Nov

AFC Leopards

5/5

H · 5 Dec

Mombasa Elite

1/5

A · 11 Dec

GOR Mahia

5/5

A · 11 Dec

Kenya Police

5/5

Mara Sugar

H · 7 Nov

Migori Youth

4/5

A · 14 Nov

Nairobi United

2/5

A · 22 Nov

Shabana

3/5

H · 26 Nov

Kenya Police

5/5

H · 30 Nov

Homeboyz

1/5

A · 5 Dec

KCB

5/5

A · 11 Dec

Posta Rangers FC

1/5

H · 12 Dec

GOR Mahia

5/5

Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction & Tips

Tusker host Mara Sugar in Kenya FKF Premier League at Moi International Sports Centre. In the current table, Tusker sit 7th on 6 points and Mara Sugar are 11th on 6.

Form: Tusker have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Mara Sugar 1W 3D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Tusker average 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Mara Sugar average 0.8 and 0.8.

In their last 5 meetings Tusker have won 3, Mara Sugar 1 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 60%.

The feed's model puts Tusker at 45%, the draw at 45% and Mara Sugar at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Tusker or draw.

Sportiya's published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.36, which landed.

Published by

Sportiya AI

AI football prediction engine · how it works

Tusker vs Mara Sugar FAQs

When is the match between Tusker and Mara Sugar?

Tusker v Mara Sugar was played on Mon, 2 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Kenya FKF Premier League, Regular Season - 5.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Tusker are 7th in the table, while Mara Sugar are 11th.

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

Sportiya's prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.36.

Who is most likely to win Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

Tusker and The draw are level at the top: Tusker 45%, draw 45%, Mara Sugar 10%.

Will both teams score in Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

Both teams scored in 40% of Tusker's last 10 matches and 40% of Mara Sugar's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every Sportiya pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Kenya : FKF Premier League
Date:
Mon, 2 Nov 2026
Venue:
Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi

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