Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction, Odds & Tips - Sportiya AI
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Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 14 · Sun, 15 Nov 2026

Primera División

Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting

23:00

15 Nov

Penarol

Penarol

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 Goals1.2595%

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.25.

Also rated:Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.25Away Win @ 1.65

Defensor Sporting: Matches Played 10

LLLDW

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Penarol: Matches Played 10

DLDLD

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D5 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

4.75

45%

3.50

45%

1.62

Teams Head to Head Matches

Defensor SportingH2HPenarol
Defensor SportingLast Matches (Defensor Sporting)
PenarolLast Matches (Penarol)

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752-282465DDLDW
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque361971061-431864DWWLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado36189954-332163LDWLD
4Club NacionalClub Nacional361951254-431162DWLWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo361613747-331461DWDWL
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847-311659WWWDW
7WanderersWanderers351491242-44-251DLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC361391448-45348DDWWW
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol361281636-48-1244WWLLL
10JuventudJuventud3510111437-43-641LDLWD
11CerroCerro361171830-53-2340WLLDW
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435-43-839WDLLL
13Cerro LargoCerro Largo369111635-43-838DLWDL
14Boston RiverBoston River361071934-48-1437LLLWW
15ProgresoProgreso361062033-51-1836DLWWD
16DanubioDanubio356141529-45-1632LLWLW

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. UrretaviscayaWanderers71
M. GoicoecheaDanubio110
A. MehringProgreso110
E. VelázquezDanubio100
G. VieraCerro Largo90
I. RossiDanubio90
S. CoatesClub Nacional60
Juan PerezRacing Montevideo10

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.3

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals90%10%
1.5 goals66.9%33.1%
2.5 goals40.4%59.6%
3.5 goals20.1%79.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

44.7%

No

55.3%

1X

51.4%

12

72.8%

X2

75.8%

0-1

14%

1-1

12.6%

0-0

10%

0-2

9.8%

1-0

9%

1-2

8.8%

2-1

5.7%

0-3

4.6%

1 / 1

13.3%

1 / X

4.6%

1 / 2

2.1%

X / 1

9.7%

X / X

18.1%

X / 2

17.4%

2 / 1

1.2%

2 / X

4.6%

2 / 2

29.1%

Home +0.5

44%

odds 2.15

Away -0.5

56%

odds 1.68

Home +0.75

49%

odds 1.95

Away -0.75

51%

odds 1.85

Home +1

58%

odds 1.62

Away -1

42%

odds 2.25

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 8.5

48%

odds 1.98

Under 8.5

52%

odds 1.82

Total corners over/under.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Sportiya's pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 2.3

Source: Sportiya's published prediction

Recent form40% / 60%
Attack75% / 25%
Defence23% / 77%
Goals model22% / 78%
Head-to-head7% / 93%
Overall31% / 69%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Defensor Sporting4/6
Penarol3/6

Over 2.5

Defensor Sporting3/6
Penarol0/6

Over 3.5

Defensor Sporting3/6
Penarol0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Defensor Sporting3/6
Penarol2/6

Goals By Time Period

Defensor Sporting

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Penarol

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Defensor Sporting

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Penarol

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Defensor Sporting

First goal scored: 33′First goal conceded: 42′First card: 34′

Penarol

First goal scored: 90′First goal conceded: 57′First card: 40′

Season Statistics

Defensor SportingPenarol
FormWLLLDWDWDLDD
Played3536
Wins920
Draws129
Losses147
Goals for (avg)11.6
Goals against (avg)1.20.8
Clean sheets912
Failed to score107
Biggest win streak24

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Defensor Sporting

Total shots7.6
Blocked0
47% off target53% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession49%

Penarol

Total shots11.6
Blocked0
71% off target29% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession54%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Defensor Sporting

H · 15 Nov

Penarol

5/5

Penarol

A · 15 Nov

Defensor Sporting

2/5

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction & Tips

Defensor Sporting host Penarol in Uruguay Primera División at Estadio Luis Franzini. In the table, Defensor Sporting sit 12th on 39 points and Penarol are 1st on 65.

Form: Defensor Sporting have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Penarol 0W 3D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Defensor Sporting average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Penarol average 0.9 and 0.9.

In their last 8 meetings Defensor Sporting have won 0, Penarol 7 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 25%.

The feed's model puts Defensor Sporting at 10%, the draw at 45% and Penarol at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Penarol.

Sportiya's call for this match is Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25. The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.25.

Published by

Sportiya AI

AI football prediction engine · how it works

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol FAQs

When is the match between Defensor Sporting and Penarol?

Defensor Sporting v Penarol is scheduled on Sun, 15 November 2026 at 23:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Uruguay Primera División, Clausura - 14.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Defensor Sporting are 12th in the table, while Penarol are 1st.

What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Sportiya's prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

The draw and Penarol are level at the top: Defensor Sporting 10%, draw 45%, Penarol 45%.

Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Both teams scored in 50% of Defensor Sporting's last 10 matches and 60% of Penarol's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every Sportiya pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Uruguay : Primera División
Date:
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Venue:
Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo

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