Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction, Odds & Tips - Sportiya AI
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Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 14 · Thu, 12 Nov 2026

Primera División

Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo

23:00

12 Nov

Progreso

Progreso

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 Goals1.3095%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.30.

Also rated:Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.28

Cerro Largo: Matches Played 10

LDLWL

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L6 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Progreso: Matches Played 10

LDWWL

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

1.80

45%

3.30

10%

4.10

Teams Head to Head Matches

Cerro LargoH2HProgreso
Cerro LargoLast Matches (Cerro Largo)
ProgresoLast Matches (Progreso)

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752-282465DDLDW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854-322263DWLDW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque351961059-411863WWLWL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional351941253-421161WLWWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo351612745-311460WDWLL
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847-311659WWWDW
7WanderersWanderers351491242-44-251DLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC351381447-44347DWWWW
9JuventudJuventud3510111437-43-641LDLWD
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635-48-1341WLLLL
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435-43-839WDLLL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo359101633-41-837LWDLL
13Boston RiverBoston River351071834-47-1337LLWWD
14CerroCerro351071829-53-2437LLDWL
15ProgresoProgreso351052031-49-1835LWWDL
16DanubioDanubio356141529-45-1632LLWLW

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. UrretaviscayaWanderers71
M. GoicoecheaDanubio110
A. MehringProgreso110
E. VelázquezDanubio100
G. VieraCerro Largo90
I. RossiDanubio90
S. CoatesClub Nacional60
Juan PerezRacing Montevideo10

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals88.9%11.1%
1.5 goals64.5%35.5%
2.5 goals37.7%62.3%
3.5 goals18.1%81.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

44.4%

No

55.6%

1X

67.1%

12

70.9%

X2

62%

1-1

13.4%

1-0

12.7%

0-1

11.6%

0-0

11.1%

2-1

7.7%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

7%

0-2

6.1%

1 / 1

21.8%

1 / X

4.8%

1 / 2

1.5%

X / 1

14.5%

X / X

19.5%

X / 2

12.8%

2 / 1

1.7%

2 / X

4.8%

2 / 2

18.6%

Home -1

38%

odds 2.50

Away +1

63%

odds 1.50

Home -0.75

45%

odds 2.08

Away +0.75

55%

odds 1.72

Home -0.5

52%

odds 1.82

Away +0.5

48%

odds 1.98

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 8.5

49%

odds 1.91

Under 8.5

51%

odds 1.80

Total corners over/under.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Cerro Largo

Sportiya's pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30

Expected goals: 2.2

Source: Sportiya's published prediction

Recent form36% / 64%
Attack45% / 55%
Defence46% / 54%
Goals model61% / 39%
Head-to-head100% / 0%
Overall53% / 47%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Cerro Largo4/6
Progreso5/6

Over 2.5

Cerro Largo2/6
Progreso2/6

Over 3.5

Cerro Largo1/6
Progreso1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Cerro Largo3/6
Progreso3/6

Goals By Time Period

Cerro Largo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Progreso

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Cerro Largo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Progreso

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Cerro Largo

First goal scored: 68′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 36′

Progreso

First goal scored: 48′First goal conceded: 56′First card: 47′

Season Statistics

Cerro LargoProgreso
FormLLLDWLWLDWWL
Played3535
Wins910
Draws105
Losses1620
Goals for (avg)0.90.9
Goals against (avg)1.21.4
Clean sheets96
Failed to score1314
Biggest win streak22

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Cerro Largo

Total shots6.6
Blocked0
67% off target33% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession54%

Progreso

Total shots7.6
Blocked0
53% off target47% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession45%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Cerro Largo

H · 12 Nov

Progreso

1/5

Progreso

A · 12 Nov

Cerro Largo

2/5

Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction & Tips

Cerro Largo host Progreso in Uruguay Primera División at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. In the table, Cerro Largo sit 12th on 37 points and Progreso are 15th on 35.

Form: Cerro Largo have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Progreso 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Cerro Largo average 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded; Progreso average 1.2 and 1.2.

In their last 8 meetings Cerro Largo have won 6, Progreso 1 and 1 were drawn, averaging 1.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 38%.

The feed's model puts Cerro Largo at 45%, the draw at 45% and Progreso at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Cerro Largo or draw.

Sportiya's call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30. The market prices at least two goals at 1.30.

Published by

Sportiya AI

AI football prediction engine · how it works

Cerro Largo vs Progreso FAQs

When is the match between Cerro Largo and Progreso?

Cerro Largo v Progreso is scheduled on Thu, 12 November 2026 at 23:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Uruguay Primera División, Clausura - 14.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Cerro Largo are 12th in the table, while Progreso are 15th.

What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Sportiya's prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.30.

Who is most likely to win Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Cerro Largo and The draw are level at the top: Cerro Largo 45%, draw 45%, Progreso 10%.

Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Both teams scored in 30% of Cerro Largo's last 10 matches and 50% of Progreso's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every Sportiya pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Uruguay : Primera División
Date:
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Venue:
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo

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