Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Prediction, Odds & Tips - Sportiya AI
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Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · SAFF Championship · Group Stage - 1 · Wed, 11 Nov 2026

SAFF Championship

Bangladesh

Bangladesh

14:00

11 Nov

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 Goals1.2595%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Also rated:Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33

Bangladesh: Matches Played 10

WLLLW

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Sri Lanka: Matches Played 10

WWLWD

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

2.10

45%

3.00

10%

3.30

Teams Head to Head Matches

BangladeshH2HSri Lanka
BangladeshLast Matches (Bangladesh)
Sri LankaLast Matches (Sri Lanka)

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1BangladeshBangladesh11001-013W
2Sri LankaSri Lanka10102-201D
3BhutanBhutan20112-3-11DL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals91.8%8.2%
1.5 goals71.3%28.7%
2.5 goals45.6%54.4%
3.5 goals24.2%75.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

49.1%

No

50.9%

1X

74.8%

12

74%

X2

51.2%

1-0

12.3%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

9.2%

2-1

9.2%

0-0

8.2%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

4.6%

1 / 1

29.5%

1 / X

4.8%

1 / 2

1.4%

X / 1

16.9%

X / X

16.4%

X / 2

9.8%

2 / 1

2.4%

2 / X

4.8%

2 / 2

14%

Home -0.5

44%

odds 2.15

Away +0.5

56%

odds 1.68

Home -0.25

51%

odds 1.85

Away +0.25

49%

odds 1.95

Home 0

61%

odds 1.55

Away 0

39%

odds 2.38

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 9.5

50%

odds 1.90

Under 9.5

50%

odds 1.90

Total corners over/under.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Bangladesh

Sportiya's pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 2.5

Source: Sportiya's published prediction

Recent form75% / 25%
Attack33% / 67%
Defence100% / 0%
Goals model0% / 0%
Head-to-head50% / 50%
Overall52% / 48%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Bangladesh3/6
Sri Lanka6/6

Over 2.5

Bangladesh3/6
Sri Lanka5/6

Over 3.5

Bangladesh1/6
Sri Lanka3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Bangladesh2/6
Sri Lanka3/6

Goals By Time Period

Bangladesh

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sri Lanka

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Bangladesh

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sri Lanka

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Bangladesh

First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 25′First card: 48′

Sri Lanka

First goal scored: 30′First goal conceded: 37′First card: 42′

Season Statistics

BangladeshSri Lanka
FormWD
Played11
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Biggest win streak10

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Bangladesh

Total shots5.7
Blocked1.3
54% off target46% on target
71% inside box29% outside box
Total passes372
Accurate passes308.7 (83%)
Possession41%

Sri Lanka

Total shots0
Blocked0
100% off target0% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession100%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Bangladesh

H · 11 Nov

Sri Lanka

4/5

Sri Lanka

A · 11 Nov

Bangladesh

5/5

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Prediction & Tips

Bangladesh host Sri Lanka in World SAFF Championship at Bangabandhu National Stadium. In the table, Bangladesh sit 1st on 3 points and Sri Lanka are 2nd on 1.

Form: Bangladesh have taken 2W 0D 3L from their last 5, Sri Lanka 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Bangladesh average 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded; Sri Lanka average 1.9 and 1.5.

In their last 2 meetings Bangladesh have won 1, Sri Lanka 1 and 0 were drawn, averaging 1.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 0%.

The feed's model puts Bangladesh at 45%, the draw at 45% and Sri Lanka at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Bangladesh or draw.

Sportiya's call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25. The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Published by

Sportiya AI

AI football prediction engine · how it works

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka FAQs

When is the match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka?

Bangladesh v Sri Lanka is scheduled on Wed, 11 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World SAFF Championship, Group Stage - 1.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Bangladesh are 1st in the table, while Sri Lanka are 2nd.

What is the prediction for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?

Sportiya's prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?

Bangladesh and The draw are level at the top: Bangladesh 45%, draw 45%, Sri Lanka 10%.

Will both teams score in Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?

Both teams scored in 40% of Bangladesh's last 10 matches and 50% of Sri Lanka's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every Sportiya pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Prediction & Match Preview

League:
World : SAFF Championship
Date:
Wed, 11 Nov 2026
Venue:
Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka

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